Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Garbrandt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Dominick Cruz has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Dominick Cruz has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Cruz
oldest →W
vs Urijah Faber · Jun 16L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · May 20W
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 21W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Aug 22 Cody Garbrandt
oldest →W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick CruzMetricCody Garbrandt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.30Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dominick CruzCody Garbrandt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Cruz(10 fights)Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.2|Blue -8.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dominick CruzTargetCody Garbrandt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:01
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 4Cody Garbrandt edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
2Knockdowns
Round 5Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
