Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Knight enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jason Knight has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason KnightL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Alex Caceres · Jan 17W
KOvs Chas Skelly · May 17L
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Jul 17L
vs Gabriel Benitez · Dec 17L
vs Makwan Amirkhani · May 18 Jordan RinaldiL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Abel Trujillo · May 16W
SUBvs Alvaro Herrera · Aug 17L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 18L
vs Arnold Allen · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason KnightMetricJordan Rinaldi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jason KnightJordan Rinaldi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Knight(9 fights)Jordan Rinaldi(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -122.9|Blue +122.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -120.0|Blue +120.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jason KnightTargetJordan Rinaldi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jordan Rinaldi edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:59Control
Round 2Jordan Rinaldi edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:02Control
Round 3Jordan Rinaldi edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:12
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
