Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25 Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
SUBvs King Green · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricJeremy Stephens
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Darren ElkinsJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.9|Blue -26.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +73.0|Blue -73.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Darren ElkinsTargetJeremy Stephens
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jeremy Stephens edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:26
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Jeremy Stephens edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:26
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jeremy Stephens edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:22
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
