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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel won · U-DEC R3

Elo1458

Elo1510

Cody DurdenvsNyamjargal TumendemberelUFC Prediction Result

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Saturday, March 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCody Durden: WrestlervsNyamjargal Tumendemberel: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel wins(66.1%)

Actual result: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel at -194 American odds

+$52 profit

$152 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Durden

Red Corner

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Blue Corner

+162

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-194

(66%)

1458

Elo

1510

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Durden

oldest →

vs Joshua Van · Dec 24

KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25

SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25

DECvs Jafel Filho · Apr 26

SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26

latest

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

oldest →

vs Carlos Hernandez · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody DurdenMetricNyamjargal Tumendemberel

3.24

Strikes / min

2.72

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

2.47

50%

Strike defense

53%

3.99

TDs / 15 min

3.37

56%

Takedown defense

56%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

2.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking+0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody DurdenNyamjargal Tumendemberel

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Durden(10 fights)Nyamjargal Tumendemberel(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -51.6|Blue +51.6

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -343.0|Blue +343.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody DurdenTargetNyamjargal Tumendemberel

By target zone

28% acc · 63%

Head

59% acc · 80%

Body

33% acc · 4%

100% acc · 38%

Leg

80% acc · 16%

By position

39% acc · 88%

Distance

37% acc · 28%

100% acc · 13%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

0% acc

Ground

77% acc · 68%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Durden rounds

even

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns3

Control1:51

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:37Control

Round 2Nyamjargal Tumendemberel edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:37

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:51Control

Round 3Nyamjargal Tumendemberel edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control2:22

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 21

Sig Strikes

25 / 42

28.7%

Sig Str %

60%

54 / 69

Total Strikes

43 / 60

3 / 8

TDs

4 / 4

16.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:50

Ctrl Time

6:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nyamjargal Tumendemberel	9 / 13	15 / 19	1 / 1	1
1	Cody Durden	4 / 8	21 / 25	3 / 6	0
2	Nyamjargal Tumendemberel	12 / 22	20 / 30	2 / 2	0
2	Cody Durden	4 / 11	8 / 15	0 / 1	0
3	Nyamjargal Tumendemberel	4 / 7	8 / 11	1 / 1	0
3	Cody Durden	0 / 2	25 / 29	0 / 1	0

Cody Durden

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights2