Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
- John Castaneda has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Castaneda
oldest →W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jun 24L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25D
DECvs Mark Vologdin · Apr 26 Daniel Santos
oldest →W
vs Johnny Munoz · Jun 23W
vs JeongYeong Lee · May 25W
KOvs JooSang Yoo · Oct 25L
KOvs Dooho Choi · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John CastanedaMetricDaniel Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John CastanedaDaniel Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Castaneda(9 fights)Daniel Santos(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -27.8|Blue +27.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John CastanedaTargetDaniel Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Castaneda edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns2
Control1:40
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Daniel Santos edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:24
Knockdowns0
50Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:37Control
1Knockdowns
