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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Ode Osbourne won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1479

Elo1494

Ode OsbournevsZarrukh AdashevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Saturday, June 4, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ode Osbourne won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:01

Style matchupOde Osbourne: Well-roundedvsZarrukh Adashev: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Ode Osbourne wins(61.6%)

Actual result: Ode Osbourne wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ode Osbourne at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ode Osbourne is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Zarrukh Adashev has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Zarrukh Adashev has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Zarrukh Adashev has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ode Osbourne has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ode Osbourne

Red Corner

Zarrukh Adashev

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1479

Elo

1494

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'5"

185.42 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ode OsbourneL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 24

vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24

KOvs Luis Gurule · Apr 25

vs Steve Erceg · Aug 25

vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26

latest

Zarrukh Adashev

oldest →

KOvs Tyson Nam · Jun 20

vs Su Mudaerji · Jan 21

vs Ryan Benoit · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ode OsbourneMetricZarrukh Adashev

2.94

Strikes / min

3.65

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

3.04

49%

Strike defense

64%

0.94

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

100%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ode OsbourneZarrukh Adashev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ode Osbourne(10 fights)Zarrukh Adashev(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -14.8|Blue +14.8

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ode OsbourneTargetZarrukh Adashev

By target zone

47% acc · 100%

Head

45% acc · 71%

Body

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

13% acc · 14%

Distance

54% acc · 100%

Clinch

86% acc · 86%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ode Osbourne rounds

even

Zarrukh Adashev rounds

Round 1Ode Osbourne edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 15

Sig Strikes

7 / 13

46%

Sig Str %

53%

7 / 15

Total Strikes

7 / 13

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Zarrukh Adashev	7 / 13	7 / 13	0 / 0	0
1	Ode Osbourne	7 / 15	7 / 15	0 / 0	0

Ode Osbourne

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Zarrukh Adashev

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4