Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kai AsakuraL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 24L
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Aug 25 Cameron SmothermanL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Serhiy Sidey · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kai AsakuraMetricCameron Smotherman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.26Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+0.55
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kai Asakura(3 fights)Cameron Smotherman(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +52.2|Blue -52.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kai AsakuraTargetCameron Smotherman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Cameron Smotherman rounds
Round 1Kai Asakura edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
