Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Gabriel Gonzaga has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20 Gabriel Gonzaga
oldest →L
vs Stipe Miocic · Jan 14L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14L
KOvs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Apr 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior Dos SantosMetricGabriel Gonzaga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.16Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Junior Dos SantosGabriel Gonzaga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -97.8|Blue +97.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Junior Dos SantosTargetGabriel Gonzaga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Junior Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
