Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Davis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
SUBvs King Green · May 26 Marcus Davis
oldest →W
KOvs Jonathan Goulet · May 10L
SUBvs Nate Diaz · Aug 10 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremy StephensMetricMarcus Davis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jeremy StephensMarcus Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)Marcus Davis(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +121.7|Blue -121.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jeremy StephensTargetMarcus Davis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marcus Davis edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:18
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:29Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:41
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:53Control
Round 3Jeremy Stephens edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
