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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Shauna Bannon won · S-DEC R3

Elo1478

Elo1540

Shauna BannonvsAlice ArdeleanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Saturday, July 27, 2024Manchester, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Shauna Bannon won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupShauna Bannon: Pressure fightervsAlice Ardelean: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Alice Ardelean wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Shauna Bannon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alice Ardelean has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Alice Ardelean has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Shauna Bannon (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Shauna Bannon

Red Corner

Alice Ardelean

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1478

Elo

1540

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'3"

165.1 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shauna BannonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 23

SUBvs Puja Tomar · Mar 25

SUBvs Sam Hughes · Sep 25

SUBvs Nicolle Caliari · May 26

latest

Alice ArdeleanW3 streak

oldest →

vs Melissa Martinez · Oct 24

vs Rayanne dos Santos · May 25

vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Nov 25

SUBvs Polyana Viana · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shauna BannonMetricAlice Ardelean

4.32

Strikes / min

7.35

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

5.20

45%

Strike defense

62%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.00

40%

Takedown defense

85%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.57Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+2.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Shauna BannonAlice Ardelean

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Shauna Bannon(5 fights)Alice Ardelean(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -62.1|Blue +62.1

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shauna BannonTargetAlice Ardelean

By target zone

37% acc · 57%

Head

50% acc · 74%

61% acc · 29%

Body

67% acc · 18%

79% acc · 14%

Leg

83% acc · 9%

By position

45% acc · 95%

Distance

52% acc · 88%

80% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

Ground

80% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Shauna Bannon rounds

even

Alice Ardelean rounds

Round 1Alice Ardelean edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:09

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:25Control

Round 2Alice Ardelean edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:01

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:28Control

Round 3Shauna Bannon edged it

Sig. strikes50

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

77 / 169

Sig Strikes

57 / 105

42.7%

Sig Str %

58.3%

151 / 252

Total Strikes

80 / 139

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 4

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

5:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alice Ardelean	14 / 21	26 / 34	1 / 1
1	Shauna Bannon	11 / 28	52 / 73	0 / 0
2	Alice Ardelean	17 / 26	28 / 46	1 / 2
2	Shauna Bannon	16 / 40	47 / 75	0 / 2
3	Alice Ardelean	26 / 58	26 / 59	0 / 1
3	Shauna Bannon	50 / 101	52 / 104	0 / 0

Shauna Bannon

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4

Alice Ardelean

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights4