Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Burkman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua BurkmanL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Mar 17L
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 17L
SUBvs Alex Morono · Feb 18 Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua BurkmanMetricPaul Felder
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joshua BurkmanPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Burkman(8 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -27.7|Blue +27.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -20.0|Blue +20.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joshua BurkmanTargetPaul Felder
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joshua Burkman edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control1:16
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Paul Felder edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:01
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control1:07
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
