Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Benoit Saint Denis has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Benoit Saint Denis
oldest →L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26 Kyle PrepolecL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Nordine Taleb · May 19L
vs Austin Hubbard · Sep 19L
KOvs Drew Dober · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Benoit Saint DenisMetricKyle Prepolec
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.53Δ 3.97 — meaningful gap-2.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Benoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)Kyle Prepolec(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +87.0|Blue -87.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -1841.0|Blue +1841.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Benoit Saint DenisTargetKyle Prepolec
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Benoit Saint Denis rounds
Round 1Benoit Saint Denis edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control4:32
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Benoit Saint Denis edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns1
Control1:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
