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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Max Griffin won · U-DEC R3

Elo1399

Elo1470

Mike PerryvsMax GriffinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · Saturday, February 24, 2018Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Max Griffin won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMike Perry: Pressure fightervsMax Griffin: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Mike Perry wins(57.1%)

Actual result: Max Griffin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Perry at -300 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Max Griffin has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mike Perry

Red Corner

Max Griffin

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1399

Elo

1470

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mike PerryL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Vincente Luque · Aug 19

KOvs Geoff Neal · Dec 19

vs Mickey Gall · Jun 20

vs Tim Means · Nov 20

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Apr 21

latest

Max GriffinL3 streak

oldest →

vs Michael Morales · Jul 23

vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24

SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24

vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25

DECvs Victor Valenzuela · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mike PerryMetricMax Griffin

4.32

Strikes / min

3.70

5.16

Strikes absorbed / min

3.69

52%

Strike defense

58%

0.81

TDs / 15 min

1.44

78%

Takedown defense

69%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.84evenly matched on net striking+0.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mike PerryMax Griffin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mike Perry(10 fights)Max Griffin(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -71.6|Blue +71.6

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mike PerryTargetMax Griffin

By target zone

30% acc · 51%

Head

42% acc · 74%

44% acc · 18%

Body

47% acc · 9%

93% acc · 31%

Leg

87% acc · 17%

By position

41% acc · 98%

Distance

45% acc · 95%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 1%

Ground

75% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mike Perry rounds

even

Max Griffin rounds

Round 1Max Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:46

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 2Max Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Mike Perry edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:34

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 110

Sig Strikes

78 / 168

41%

Sig Str %

45%

45 / 110

Total Strikes

81 / 171

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 1

25%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:20

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Max Griffin	27 / 61	30 / 64	0 / 1
1	Mike Perry	14 / 40	14 / 40	1 / 2
2	Max Griffin	37 / 72	37 / 72	0 / 0
2	Mike Perry	16 / 36	16 / 36	0 / 0
3	Max Griffin	14 / 35	14 / 35	0 / 0
3	Mike Perry	15 / 34	15 / 34	0 / 2

Mike Perry

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights15

Max Griffin

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19