Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Trizano has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luis Pena (53.5%).
- Luis Pena has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael Trizano
oldest →L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 19W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 21L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Feb 22L
KOvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 22W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Nov 22 Luis Pena
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jun 19L
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 19W
vs Steve Garcia · Feb 20L
SUBvs Khama Worthy · Jun 20W
vs Alexander Munoz · Apr 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael TrizanoMetricLuis Pena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.77Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michael TrizanoLuis Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Trizano(7 fights)Luis Pena(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.8|Blue -2.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michael TrizanoTargetLuis Pena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:25
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:55Control
Round 2Michael Trizano edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:12
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:49Control
Round 3Michael Trizano edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control0:37
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
