Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Ankalaev has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed Ankalaev
oldest →W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24W
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24W
vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 25W
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 26 Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed AnkalaevMetricMarcin Prachnio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.06Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Magomed AnkalaevMarcin Prachnio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +49.1|Blue -49.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Magomed AnkalaevTargetMarcin Prachnio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Magomed Ankalaev edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
