Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tyron Woodley has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Shields
oldest →L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Apr 11L
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Sep 11W
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Feb 12L
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 14 Tyron WoodleyL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake ShieldsMetricTyron Woodley
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.65Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake ShieldsTyron Woodley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Shields(7 fights)Tyron Woodley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +92.5|Blue -92.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +343.0|Blue -343.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake ShieldsTargetTyron Woodley
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Shields edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:56
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 2Jake Shields edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control2:15
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:56
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
