Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Mateusz Gamrot has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Gamrot (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs King Green · May 26 Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25W
SUBvs Esteban Ribovics · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremy StephensMetricMateusz Gamrot
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.12evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jeremy StephensMateusz Gamrot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.0|Blue +52.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +336.0|Blue -336.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jeremy StephensTargetMateusz Gamrot
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mateusz Gamrot edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:03
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
