Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Brown is a KO finisher (77% of wins). Dhiego Lima has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Dec 19L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23 Dhiego Lima
oldest →L
vs Yushin Okami · Apr 18W
KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 18L
vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricDhiego Lima
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.84Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt BrownDhiego Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Dhiego Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +96.0|Blue -96.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt BrownTargetDhiego Lima
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Brown edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Matt Brown edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
