Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Brendson Ribeiro threatens submissions; Diyar Nurgozhay has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Diyar Nurgozhay has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Diyar Nurgozhay (53.5%).
- Brendson Ribeiro has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diyar Nurgozhay
oldest →L
SUBvs Uran Satybaldiev · Aug 25W
vs Rafael Tobias · Mar 26 Brendson RibeiroL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Caio Machado · Nov 24L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Jun 25L
SUBvs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Apr 26L
DECvs Magomed Tuchalov · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diyar NurgozhayMetricBrendson Ribeiro
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.71Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diyar NurgozhayBrendson Ribeiro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diyar Nurgozhay(3 fights)Brendson Ribeiro(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +57.0|Blue -57.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diyar NurgozhayTargetBrendson Ribeiro
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brendson Ribeiro edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Diyar Nurgozhay edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control0:49
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
