Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhalgas Zhumagulov (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manel KapeW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Jul 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25W
KOvs Brandon Royval · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Jun 26 Zhalgas ZhumagulovL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Jerome Rivera · Jul 21L
vs Charles Johnson · Nov 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manel KapeMetricZhalgas Zhumagulov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap-0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Manel KapeZhalgas Zhumagulov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manel Kape(10 fights)Zhalgas Zhumagulov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +95.8|Blue -95.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Manel KapeTargetZhalgas Zhumagulov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Zhalgas Zhumagulov rounds
Round 1Manel Kape edged it
Sig. strikes53
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns2
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
