Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Youssef Zalal threatens submissions; Jarno Errens has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Youssef Zalal has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Youssef Zalal
oldest →W
SUBvs Billy Quarantillo · Mar 24W
SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24W
vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25L
DECvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 26 Jarno Errens
oldest →L
vs William Gomis · Sep 22L
vs SeungWoo Choi · Aug 23W
vs Steven Nguyen · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Youssef ZalalMetricJarno Errens
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.99evenly matched on net striking0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Youssef ZalalJarno Errens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Youssef Zalal(10 fights)Jarno Errens(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +33.3|Blue -33.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Youssef ZalalTargetJarno Errens
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Youssef Zalal edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:08
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
