Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Watson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Stanislav Nedkov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tom Watson has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tom WatsonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Thales Leites · Aug 13L
vs Rafael Natal · Jan 15L
vs Chris Camozzi · Aug 15 Stanislav Nedkov
oldest →L
SUBvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tom WatsonMetricStanislav Nedkov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-2.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tom WatsonStanislav Nedkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tom Watson(7 fights)Stanislav Nedkov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -399.0|Blue +399.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tom WatsonTargetStanislav Nedkov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Stanislav Nedkov edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control2:35
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:41Control
Round 2Tom Watson edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control1:48
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
1:57Control
0Knockdowns
