Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Randy Brown has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente Luque
oldest →L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 26 Randy BrownL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25L
DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricRandy Brown
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vicente LuqueRandy Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Randy Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +6.8|Blue -6.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -175.0|Blue +175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vicente LuqueTargetRandy Brown
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Vicente Luque edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:42
Knockdowns1
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Vicente Luque edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:24
Knockdowns1
36Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:28Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
