Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Holloway is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Conor McGregor has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Max Holloway has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Conor McGregor has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Conor McGregorL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Eddie Alvarez · Nov 16L
SUBvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Oct 18W
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 20L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jan 21L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 21 Max Holloway
oldest →W
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Aug 23W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Conor McGregorMetricMax Holloway
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.66Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+2.30
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Conor McGregor(10 fights)Max Holloway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -43.4|Blue +43.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +1701.0|Blue -1701.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Conor McGregorTargetMax Holloway
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Max Holloway edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
