Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Frank Mir is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Alistair Overeem has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alistair Overeem has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frank MirL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Josh Barnett · Aug 13W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15W
KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15 Alistair Overeem
oldest →W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frank MirMetricAlistair Overeem
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.66Δ 2.89 — meaningful gap+1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Frank MirAlistair Overeem
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frank Mir(10 fights)Alistair Overeem(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -136.6|Blue +136.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Frank MirTargetAlistair Overeem
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:29Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control0:29
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:05Control
Round 3Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
