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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Draw won · M-DEC R3
Elo1500
Ricky Simon
Elo1521

Ricky SimonvsAdrian YanezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Saturday, March 28, 2026Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Draw

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRicky Simon: WrestlervsAdrian Yanez: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Tale of the Tape

Ricky Simon
Red Corner
VS
Adrian Yanez
Blue Corner
-158
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+124
(45%)
1500
Elo
1521
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricky Simon
oldest →
L
vs Mario Bautista · Jan 24
L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24
W
KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25
W
vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25
L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25
latest
Adrian Yanez
oldest →
L
KOvs Rob Font · Apr 23
L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23
W
KOvs Vinicius Salvador · May 24
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricky SimonMetricAdrian Yanez
3.03
Strikes / min
5.96
3.90
Strikes absorbed / min
5.24
61%
Strike defense
56%
4.49
TDs / 15 min
0.00
76%
Takedown defense
75%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap+0.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1559 vs 1541Strikes3.0 vs 6.0Takedowns4.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -0.4
Ricky SimonAdrian Yanez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Ricky Simon(10 fights)Adrian Yanez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -21.1|Blue +21.1
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff
Red -329.0|Blue +329.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricky SimonTargetAdrian Yanez

By target zone

33
27% acc · 75%
Head
63
40% acc · 89%
7
54% acc · 16%
Body
6
75% acc · 8%
4
80% acc · 9%
Leg
2
100% acc · 3%

By position

38
29% acc · 86%
Distance
67
43% acc · 94%
2
100% acc · 5%
Clinch
0
4
80% acc · 9%
Ground
4
31% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ricky Simon rounds
0
even
2
Adrian Yanez rounds
Round 1Adrian Yanez edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ricky Simon edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns2
Control2:06
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Adrian Yanez edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
44 / 139
Sig Strikes
71 / 169
32.3%
Sig Str %
42.3%
52 / 149
Total Strikes
73 / 171
2 / 5
TDs
0 / 0
22%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:06
Ctrl Time
0:06

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Adrian Yanez16 / 4616 / 460 / 00
1Ricky Simon12 / 5512 / 550 / 10
2Adrian Yanez15 / 2916 / 300 / 00
2Ricky Simon15 / 3523 / 452 / 30
3Adrian Yanez40 / 9441 / 950 / 00
3Ricky Simon17 / 4917 / 490 / 10

Ricky Simon

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights17

Adrian Yanez

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11