Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Journey Newson has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Domingo Pilarte (53.5%).
- Domingo Pilarte has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Domingo PilarteL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Felipe Colares · Jul 19L
vs Brian Kelleher · Aug 21 Journey NewsonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Jun 19L
KOvs Randy Costa · Sep 20W
vs Fernie Garcia · May 22L
vs Sergey Morozov · Dec 22L
SUBvs Marcus McGhee · Apr 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Domingo PilarteMetricJourney Newson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.65Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Domingo PilarteJourney Newson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Domingo Pilarte(3 fights)Journey Newson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.7|Blue +52.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Domingo PilarteTargetJourney Newson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Journey Newson edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
