Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Petr Yan has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (52.9%).
- Aljamain Sterling has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Petr YanW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24W
vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25 Aljamain SterlingW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25W
DECvs Youssef Zalal · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Petr YanMetricAljamain Sterling
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.92Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap+2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Petr YanAljamain Sterling
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Petr Yan(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.9|Blue -7.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Petr YanTargetAljamain Sterling
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Aljamain Sterling rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control1:17
Knockdowns1
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:27Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Aljamain Sterling edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:25
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:16Control
Round 3Petr Yan edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns3
Control0:49
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 4Petr Yan edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control0:41
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
