Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Felipe Arantes threatens submissions; Jerrod Sanders has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Felipe Arantes has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felipe ArantesL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Aug 15L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jun 18 Jerrod Sanders
oldest →L
KOvs Yosdenis Cedeno · Jul 14W
vs Russell Doane · Jul 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felipe ArantesMetricJerrod Sanders
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Felipe ArantesJerrod Sanders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felipe Arantes(10 fights)Jerrod Sanders(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -124.6|Blue +124.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Felipe ArantesTargetJerrod Sanders
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jerrod Sanders edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:37
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:49Control
Round 2Jerrod Sanders edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
