Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nathan Coy has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Danny Roberts has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny RobertsL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Zelim Imadaev · Nov 19W
vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 22L
KOvs Jonny Parsons · Jul 23 Nathan Coy
oldest →W
vs Jonavin Webb · Feb 16L
SUBvs Zak Cummings · Apr 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny RobertsMetricNathan Coy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.55Δ 2.03 — meaningful gap+1.48
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Roberts(10 fights)Nathan Coy(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -23.3|Blue +23.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Danny RobertsTargetNathan Coy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nathan Coy edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
