Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jonathan Brookins has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25 Jonathan Brookins
oldest →W
vs Michael Johnson · Dec 10W
KOvs Vagner Rocha · Feb 12L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricJonathan Brookins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.67Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin PoirierJonathan Brookins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Jonathan Brookins(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +141.9|Blue -141.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +17.0|Blue -17.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin PoirierTargetJonathan Brookins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Jonathan Brookins rounds
Round 1Dustin Poirier edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control1:09
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
