Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Movsar Evloev has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jun 21W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26 Diego Lopes
oldest →W
vs Brian Ortega · Sep 24L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 25W
KOvs Jean Silva · Sep 25L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Jan 26W
KOvs Steve Garcia · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Movsar EvloevMetricDiego Lopes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.11Δ 1.84 — meaningful gap-0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Movsar EvloevDiego Lopes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Movsar Evloev(10 fights)Diego Lopes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -13.2|Blue +13.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Movsar EvloevTargetDiego Lopes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control3:34
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 2Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns1
Control2:20
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns2
Control2:36
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
