Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luan Lacerda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Saimon Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luan Lacerda has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luan LacerdaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Cody Stamann · Jan 23L
KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jun 23 Saimon OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Tony Gravely · Jan 22L
KOvs Daniel Marcos · Jan 23L
KOvs David Martinez · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luan LacerdaMetricSaimon Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.09evenly matched on net striking-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luan LacerdaSaimon Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luan Lacerda(4 fights)Saimon Oliveira(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +34.4|Blue -34.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +665.0|Blue -665.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luan LacerdaTargetSaimon Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Luan Lacerda edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control3:38
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Luan Lacerda edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:28
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
