Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Ricky Turcios has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
- Ricky Turcios has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W4 streak
oldest →L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Apr 23W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Sep 23W
vs Vince Morales · Mar 25 Ricky TurciosL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Brady Hiestand · Aug 21L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Jul 22W
vs Kevin Natividad · Nov 22L
vs Benardo Sopaj · Jan 25L
SUBvs Alberto Montes · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricRicky Turcios
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raul Rosas Jr.Ricky Turcios
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Ricky Turcios(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +77.9|Blue -77.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -301.0|Blue +301.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raul Rosas Jr.TargetRicky Turcios
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Raul Rosas Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns2
Control3:40
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
Round 2Raul Rosas Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control2:09
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
