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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nursulton Ruziboev won · Submission R1

Elo1544

Elo1458

Nursulton RuziboevvsAndrey PulyaevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Saturday, June 27, 2026Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Nursulton Ruziboev won

Submission · Round 1 · 3:58

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Andrey Pulyaev

Model Prediction: Nursulton Ruziboev wins(65.2%)

Actual result: Nursulton Ruziboev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andrey Pulyaev has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Nursulton Ruziboev

Red Corner

Andrey Pulyaev

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1544

Elo

1458

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'5"

Height

6'4"

193.04 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nursulton RuziboevW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 23

KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 24

vs Joaquin Buckley · May 24

KOvs Eric McConico · Feb 25

vs Dustin Stoltzfus · May 25

latest

Andrey Pulyaev

oldest →

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 25

KOvs Nick Klein · Aug 25

vs Ateba Gautier · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nursulton RuziboevMetricAndrey Pulyaev

2.59

Strikes / min

3.84

2.89

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

48%

Strike defense

55%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

0.29

33%

Takedown defense

64%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.70

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nursulton Ruziboev(6 fights)Andrey Pulyaev(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +85.8|Blue -85.8

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +252.0|Blue -252.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nursulton RuziboevTargetAndrey Pulyaev

By target zone

0% acc

Head

0% acc

50% acc · 100%

Body

100% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nursulton Ruziboev rounds

even

Andrey Pulyaev rounds

Round 1Nursulton Ruziboev edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns2

Control2:28

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 3

Sig Strikes

2 / 6

33%

Sig Str %

33%

13 / 18

Total Strikes

15 / 23

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:28

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andrey Pulyaev	2 / 6	15 / 23	0 / 0	0
1	Nursulton Ruziboev	1 / 3	13 / 18	2 / 2	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

—

Odds

—

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 44% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked Jun 4, 2026, 3:29 PM UTC · never rewritten

Nursulton Ruziboev

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7

Andrey Pulyaev

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights4