Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie EdgarL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21L
KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22 Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
SUBvs King Green · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie EdgarMetricJeremy Stephens
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Frankie EdgarJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Edgar(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -31.9|Blue +31.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -41.0|Blue +41.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Frankie EdgarTargetJeremy Stephens
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Frankie Edgar edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:16
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns2
Control1:28
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Frankie Edgar edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control2:04
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
