Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Lopez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew LopezL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Jul 16W
vs Mitch Gagnon · Dec 16W
KOvs Johnny Eduardo · Jun 17L
KOvs Raphael Assuncao · Nov 17 Alejandro Perez
oldest →W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 18L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 19L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19W
SUBvs Johnny Eduardo · Oct 21L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew LopezMetricAlejandro Perez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matthew LopezAlejandro Perez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Lopez(6 fights)Alejandro Perez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -125.5|Blue +125.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matthew LopezTargetAlejandro Perez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matthew Lopez edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns3
Control2:59
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Round 2Alejandro Perez edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:08
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
