Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcin Tybura has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexandr Romanov (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26 Alexandr Romanov
oldest →W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Apr 22L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 23W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · Jun 24W
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricAlexandr Romanov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.30Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin TyburaAlexandr Romanov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Alexandr Romanov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.9|Blue +10.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin TyburaTargetAlexandr Romanov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alexandr Romanov edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:27Control
Round 2Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:48
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 3Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
