Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Philip De Fries enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Philip De Fries threatens submissions; Oli Thompson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Philip De Fries has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Philip De Fries has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Philip De FriesL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Rob Broughton · Nov 11L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Feb 12L
KOvs Todd Duffee · Dec 12L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Apr 13 Oli Thompson
oldest →L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Philip De FriesMetricOli Thompson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.70Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap-3.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Philip De FriesOli Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Philip De Fries(5 fights)Oli Thompson(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +16.0|Blue -16.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Philip De FriesTargetOli Thompson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Philip De Fries edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:53
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:48Control
Round 2Philip De Fries edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control3:13
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
