Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amanda Nunes has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amanda NunesW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Felicia Spencer · Jun 20W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Dec 21W
vs Julianna Pena · Jul 22W
vs Irene Aldana · Jun 23 Raquel Pennington
oldest →W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amanda NunesMetricRaquel Pennington
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.93Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Amanda NunesRaquel Pennington
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amanda Nunes(10 fights)Raquel Pennington(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -301.0|Blue +301.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Amanda NunesTargetRaquel Pennington
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Raquel Pennington rounds
Round 1Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:03
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:17Control
Round 3Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control1:45
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 4Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control1:20
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 5Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control1:21
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
