Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Sam Stout has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam StoutL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13W
vs Cody McKenzie · Dec 13L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 15L
KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15 Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
SUBvs King Green · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam StoutMetricJeremy Stephens
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam StoutJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Stout(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -117.4|Blue +117.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sam StoutTargetJeremy Stephens
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jeremy Stephens edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:26Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 3Sam Stout edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:48
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
