Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergey Morozov has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raulian Paiva
oldest →L
KOvs Rogerio Bontorin · Aug 19W
KOvs Mark De La Rosa · Feb 20W
DECvs Zhalgas Zhamagulov · Jul 20W
vs Kyler Phillips · Jul 21L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Dec 21 Sergey Morozov
oldest →L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 21L
SUBvs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Feb 22W
vs Journey Newson · Dec 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raulian PaivaMetricSergey Morozov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87evenly matched on net striking+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raulian PaivaSergey Morozov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raulian Paiva(7 fights)Sergey Morozov(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -69.5|Blue +69.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raulian PaivaTargetSergey Morozov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Raulian Paiva edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:03
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Sergey Morozov edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:51Control
Round 3Sergey Morozov edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:10
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
