Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Norma Dumont has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Norma Dumont has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ashlee Evans-SmithL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Apr 17L
SUBvs Sarah Moras · Sep 17W
vs Bec Rawlings · Apr 18 Norma Dumont
oldest →W
vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24W
vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25L
DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ashlee Evans-SmithMetricNorma Dumont
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.56Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap+1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ashlee Evans-SmithNorma Dumont
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ashlee Evans-Smith(9 fights)Norma Dumont(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +377.0|Blue -377.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ashlee Evans-SmithTargetNorma Dumont
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Ashlee Evans-Smith rounds
Round 1Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:49Control
Round 2Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:01
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:33Control
Round 3Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns0
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
