Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vince Morales enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Taylor Lapilus (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Taylor Lapilus
oldest →W
vs Leandro Issa · Sep 16W
vs Caolan Loughran · Sep 23L
vs Farid Basharat · Jan 24W
vs Cody Stamann · Jun 24 Vince MoralesL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 22L
vs Elijah Smith · Feb 25L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 25L
DECvs Colby Thicknesse · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Taylor LapilusMetricVince Morales
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.98Δ 2.35 — meaningful gap-0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Taylor LapilusVince Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Taylor Lapilus(8 fights)Vince Morales(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +56.1|Blue -56.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -567.0|Blue +567.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Taylor LapilusTargetVince Morales
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Taylor Lapilus edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Taylor Lapilus edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:24Control
Round 3Taylor Lapilus edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:10
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:38Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
