Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bartosz Fabinski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Garreth McLellan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Bartosz Fabinski has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Garreth McLellan (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bartosz FabinskiL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Hector Urbina · Nov 15L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Nov 18L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · Sep 20L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 21 Garreth McLellanL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Bubba Bush · Oct 15L
KOvs Magnus Cedenblad · May 16L
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 16L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Mar 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bartosz FabinskiMetricGarreth McLellan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.77evenly matched on net striking+0.62
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bartosz Fabinski(6 fights)Garreth McLellan(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +39.3|Blue -39.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bartosz FabinskiTargetGarreth McLellan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bartosz Fabinski edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns4
Control4:05
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 2Bartosz Fabinski edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control3:22
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:16Control
Round 3Bartosz Fabinski edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns4
Control3:30
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:55Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
