Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Valmir Lazaro has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James VickL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19L
KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19 Valmir Lazaro
oldest →W
vs James Krause · Feb 15L
vs Michel Prazeres · Nov 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James VickMetricValmir Lazaro
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.82evenly matched on net striking+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
James VickValmir Lazaro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Vick(10 fights)Valmir Lazaro(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -113.6|Blue +113.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
James VickTargetValmir Lazaro
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Valmir Lazaro edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:07
38Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 2Valmir Lazaro edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 3James Vick edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:16
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:23Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
