Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Juliana Lima has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24 Juliana LimaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Nina Ansaroff · Nov 14W
vs Ericka Almeida · May 15L
SUBvs Tecia Torres · Jul 17L
vs Randa Markos · Jan 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carla EsparzaMetricJuliana Lima
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.68evenly matched on net striking-0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carla EsparzaJuliana Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carla Esparza(10 fights)Juliana Lima(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +133.3|Blue -133.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carla EsparzaTargetJuliana Lima
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control3:20
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:28
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
Round 3Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns3
Control2:47
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
