Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Rebecki enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Myktybek Orolbai enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Rebecki (53.5%).
- Myktybek Orolbai has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mateusz RebeckiL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 23L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 24L
vs Chris Duncan · Aug 25L
vs Ludovit Klein · Oct 25L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 26 Myktybek OrolbaiW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Uros Medic · Nov 23W
vs Elves Brener · May 24W
SUBvs Tofiq Musayev · Jun 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 25W
vs Chris Curtis · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mateusz RebeckiMetricMyktybek Orolbai
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mateusz RebeckiMyktybek Orolbai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mateusz Rebecki(8 fights)Myktybek Orolbai(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -75.8|Blue +75.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mateusz RebeckiTargetMyktybek Orolbai
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mateusz Rebecki edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Myktybek Orolbai edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:15
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 3Mateusz Rebecki edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns3
Control2:09
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:21Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
