Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandre Pantoja has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25 Neil Seery
oldest →L
vs Louis Smolka · Jul 15W
SUBvs Jon Delos Reyes · Oct 15L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · May 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandre PantojaMetricNeil Seery
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexandre PantojaNeil Seery
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)Neil Seery(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +161.8|Blue -161.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.6|Blue +2.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -265.0|Blue +265.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexandre PantojaTargetNeil Seery
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Alexandre Pantoja rounds
Round 1Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:21
Knockdowns1
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes67
Takedowns0
Control1:49
47Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:16
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
