Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mitch Clarke threatens submissions; Anton Kuivanen has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Anton Kuivanen has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Anton Kuivanen has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mitch ClarkeL3 streak
oldest →W
vs John Maguire · Jun 13W
SUBvs Al Iaquinta · May 14L
vs Michael Chiesa · Apr 15L
SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex White · Sep 17 Anton KuivanenL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Justin Salas · Feb 12L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Feb 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mitch ClarkeMetricAnton Kuivanen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap+0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mitch ClarkeAnton Kuivanen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mitch Clarke(7 fights)Anton Kuivanen(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -128.5|Blue +128.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +67.0|Blue -67.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mitch ClarkeTargetAnton Kuivanen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mitch Clarke edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns2
Control2:53
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:34Control
Round 2Anton Kuivanen edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control1:08
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:18Control
Round 3Anton Kuivanen edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:26
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:33Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
